NYC
Over the last week, NYC Mayor Eric Adams, Congressperson Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (A/K/A AOC), Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg, Congressman Jerry Nadler, and their respective political allies have been cherry-picking or even making up numbers to counter criticism about the level of crime and lawlessness in NYC. Below is a statistical analysis detailing how crime in NYC has been worse than every year since 2006, crime in the Bronx is worse than every year since 2000, and crime in Manhattan is worse than every pre-pandemic year since 2006.
Major felonies and violent crimes increased 9.51% and 2.94%, respectively, in NYC last week over the same period in 2022. In addition, major felonies and violent crimes increased 0.64% and 3.3%, respectively, over 2022, year-to-date. During 2022, major felonies and violent crimes increased 23.2% and 17.8%, respectively, over 2021, the year before Eric Adams took office.
Based on current trends, the respective number of major felonies and violent crimes in 2023 will be 24.1% and 21.7% higher than in 2021. Therefore, major felonies and violent crimes projected for 2023 and reported in 2022 will be higher than 2021, the year before Eric Adams took office.
Based on current trends, the respective number of major felonies and violent crimes in 2023 will be 33.4% and 30.2% higher than 2019, the first full year before the pandemic. The projected number of major felonies and violent crimes will be higher than every year since 2006 and 2003, respectively, wiping out at least 17 years of progress in fighting crime.
Bronx
Two days ago, Congressperson, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (A/K/A AOC) who represents parts of the Bronx and Queens claimed on Twitter that, “reoccurrence of crime fell dramatically” when touting her criminal justice reforms. However, crime continues to grow faster in the Bronx than any of the other four boroughs.
Major felonies and violent crimes increased 38.4% and 25.81%, respectively, in the Bronx last week over the same period in 2022. In addition, major felonies and violent crimes increased 4.4% and 5.3%, respectively, over 2022, year-to-date.
Based on current trends, the respective number of major felonies and violent crimes in 2023 will be 50.5% and 40.7% higher than 2019, the first full year before the pandemic. The projected number of major felonies and violent crimes in 2023 will be higher than every year since 2000, respectively, erasing 23 years of progress in fighting crime.
Manhattan
Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg and his allies continue to claim that Manhattan is safer since he took office in 2021.
In 2023, the number of major felonies and violent crimes in Manhattan decreased 2.3% and 4.0%, respectively, compared to 2022, year-to-date. However, the declines in major felonies and violent crimes in 2023 followed large respective increases in major felonies and violent crimes of 25.6% and 11.8% for 2022 v 2021, and respective increases of 11.1% and 23.3% for 2021 v 2020.
Based on current trends, the respective number of major felonies and violent crimes will be 23.4% and 7.8% higher in 2023 v 2021, the year before Alvin Bragg took office. Therefore, major felonies and violent crime projected for 2023 and reported for 2022 will be higher than 2021.
Despite the declines in major felonies and violent crimes for Manhattan in 2023 year-to-date, based on current trends, the respective number of major felonies and violent crimes in 2023 will be 25.8% and 26.4% higher than 2019, the first full year before the pandemic. In addition, the respective number of major felonies and violent crimes in 2023, based on current trends, will be higher than every year before the pandemic going back to 2006 and 2005, wiping out at least 17 years of progress in fighting crime.
Note: The crime statistics were sourced from the NYPD
Written by,
Sam Antar
© Copyright by Sam Antar. All rights reserved.