Inevitable Upward Revision in FBI Violent Crime Numbers

Introduction In a recent blog post, I explored the FBI’s underreporting of violent crime in New York City for 2023, raising concerns about the reliability of its national crime statistics. John Lott, writing for the New York Post, revealed that the FBI quietly revised its national violent crime rates for 2021 and 2022 in its […]

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VP Debate Fact Check: Walz’s Misleading Claims and Adams’ Data Suppression

In the recent vice presidential debate, Tim Walz made a troublingly disingenuous claim about gun violence research, stating, “And we can start to get data, but here’s the problem, if we really want to solve this, we’ve got folks that won’t allow research to even be done on gun violence.” (57:49 into debate video) Walz’s

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Crime Victimization by Racial/Ethnic Group Across U.S. Administrations (2009-2023)

Introduction This essay examines crime victimization rates among different racial and ethnic groups in the United States from 2009 to 2023, spanning the Obama, Trump, and Biden administrations. The data is sourced from the Bureau of Justice Statistics (BJS) National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS) and presents rates of violent victimizations per 1,000 people aged 12

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FBI Crime Data Discrepancies: An Updated Analysis of New York City’s 2023 Statistics

Today, the FBI released its updated crime data for 2023, which continues to raise questions about its accuracy. In a previous blog article, I demonstrated that from 2001 to 2022, the FBI’s Uniform Crime Report (UCR) consistently reported higher violent crime statistics for New York City than those provided by the NYC Police Department. This

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Violent Crime in America: Three Administrations, One Crisis

Introduction In the realm of political discourse, few topics generate as much heated debate as crime rates. As we navigate through different presidential administrations, it’s crucial to examine the data objectively and understand the trends that have shaped our nation’s safety landscape. This analysis delves into the violent crime statistics spanning the Obama, Trump, and

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Examining Discrepancies in FBI Crime Statistics for New York City

Between 2001 and 2022, the FBI’s Uniform Crime Report (UCR) consistently reported higher violent crime statistics for New York City compared to the figures provided by the NYC Police Department. This discrepancy can be partly attributed to the differing definitions of crime used by the FBI and the NYPD. Although New York City employs a

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Why is NYC Mayor Eric Adams Withholding Data on Violent Crimes Involving Firearms?

Every county in New York State, except for the five that make up New York City, has submitted data on Violent Crime by Firearm (VCBF) for 2023. The NYPD has stopped reporting violent crimes involving firearms in 2023, despite consistently reporting shooting incidents and confiscated firearms. The lack of VCBF data from NYC Mayor Eric

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A Deep Dive into NYC’s Violent Crime Data by Race and Ethnicity (2024 First Half)

Executive Summary: Violent Crime in New York City (First Half of 2024) This report analyzes violent crime patterns in New York City during the first six months of 2024, focusing on racial and ethnic aspects of both victimization and offending. The findings reveal significant disparities that highlight pressing societal challenges. Key Findings: Disproportionate Victimization: Black

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Unmasking Inequities: The Impact of Violent Crime in Manhattan

In the heart of New York City, Manhattan has long been a vibrant and dynamic urban landscape. However, beneath its glittering skyline lies a complex tapestry of social, economic, and political forces. Between the first quarter of 2019, prior to the COVID pandemic and the implementation of New York State’s criminal justice reform laws (bail

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The Racial and Ethnic Composition of Homicides in NYC

In the bustling streets of New York City, a complex debate unfolds. Progressive politicians and criminal justice nonprofits advocate for focusing on the race of offenders within the criminal justice system. But what about the victims? Their pain, their loss—often overshadowed by the broader narrative. Strangely, even when victims belong to the same racial group

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